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Rumors FACTS AND THE COT REPORT June 23, 2006

The rumors of the day: in operating rooms are turning to rumors market that some Fed members were discussed in a meeting "secret" with the Bond Market Association, the possibility of a rise in interest rates by 50 basis points in June, which is double than prior to the market today. If the rumors are confirmed, the suspicion that the Fed wants to take the pulse of the major operators to see what could be the market reaction increases towards more full-bodied.

HIGHWAYS - For the merger with Abertis is also necessary for the OK from the Ministry of Economy. The Il Sole 24 Ore reported, citing the opinion submitted by the State Council to the Minister of Infrastructure. The special dividend that will cash transaction Schema28 to merge with can be reinvested to detect the proportion of 13.3% of Schema28 that will be offered for sale by Abertis. To say it is Gilberto Benetton in an interview.

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FIAT-BNP Paribas has offered for 50% of Fidis billion €, according to financial sources. Fiat Group sold its remaining share, or 10% of a cleansing for Ipi 25.7 million, a gain of approximately € 9 million.

FINMECCANICA - The subsidiary AgustaWestland has signed a contract for a billion pounds with the Defence of Britain.

AGREEMENT - is not expected any meeting between the chairman and largest shareholder, Credit Agricole, to discuss Capitalia. Cariplo Foundation, the second largest shareholder of the institution, would not agree if it was given an operation on another hostile bank. Moody's has observed the bank's rating for possible upgrade the long-term debt and deposits "A1" and the financial strength "B-".

SANPAOLO-IMI - The Society of Sanpaolo, a major shareholder of Sanpaolo IMI, has not foreclosed on a possible combination that could be Italian or foreign, and even with a partner of equal size.

continues on http://www.debitower.com/znewletter1.htm

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analysis of
COT
weekly on the S & P'500 undergoes changes.

E '
Interestingly, each week for two months this
part, commercial hedgers (
professional investors who anticipate the direction of the market imperfections
and analyzing variances, also called arbitrageurs) are opening more and more
positions giving direction to the market, opposing
part of the large trader (the large investors) are sure to
small traders (small investors) that the end is
just having a net asset. With the recovery of
Wednesday evening and Thursday
American markets breathed a sigh of relief, but the report released Friday
cot and that the situation is reportedly photographed Tuesday evening
outlines that, ultimately,
scenario remains somewhat negative in the short period, as the trend is defined by the movement of large speculators
that is decidedly bearish.
So we suggest you check every week
what this category of investors, to determine whether the corrective movement
is serious, or is the classic bounce "
dead cat." As for the medium term, however, the cot
(especially the commercial hedgers)
we are suggesting that the movement represents a correction in place and not a change in the trend of long
period, which remains bullish. We
neutral-bearish in the short term and bullish in the medium.

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Analysis Report Title STM

Gap to be closed in the area 12.57-12.65
Report today, with recovery likely Target 12.42.

Pivot
12.34 Supports: 12,22-12,01-11,68
Resistances: 12,55-12,67-13,00

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Nasdaq composite


Today the Nasdaq Composite is still ripresa.Segnaliamo tonic and the possible closure of the two week gap left open Friday at an altitude of 2222 (gap time) and May 12 last year at an altitude of 2270 (day gap).
Levels for Today:
Pivot 2161.15
resistors 2.178-2.193-2.225
Media 2.145-2.128-2.097

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Report Bund Future

BUND FUTURE REPORT
Trend-side negative. On the day we expect a fluctuation band still in decline.

Pivot place at 115.57.
resistors 115.94, 116.18, 116.59 115.53
Supports, 115.36, 114.95

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DAILY REPORT STOXX 50

REPORT STOXX 50

bearish trend for the third consecutive day. Yesterday, the European future has not been able to close the gap open area in 3636-3639. In the morning, the index attempts to break the band set in support area 3516-3508, unlikely, but possible, in which case the objective would be ambitious of the fall (3420-3430)
Pivot place in 3541.
resistors 3565, 3598, 3655
Supports 3508, 3484, 3427
report a gap open area in 3636-3639
Expected stability of the fluctuation band of the index. Figure
formed : Head & Shoulders bearish on the daily chart. Target at least 3488, unlikely. Figure
in training : Cuneo reverse on the daily chart

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Bund Future

BUND FUTURE REPORT
the negative trend continues, we expect a rebound with only 116.10 Target exceeded decided to share 115.85, or 115.65 down with Target. On the day we expect a fluctuation band in contraction.

Pivot place at 116.15.
resistors 116.35, 116.65, 117.15 115.85
Supports, 115.65, 115.15, "

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Daily Report sull'Eurostoxx 50

REPORT STOXX 50
Today the market is strong downward. Yesterday, the European future has not been able to close the gap open area in 3636-3639, including the influence from the U.S. markets, rising sharply after Bernanke's less reassuring words on the future approach of the Fed the monetary policy. For today we expect a rebound . Be careful, however, (for those who have a bullish position) to the break of support 3509, unlikely, but possible, in which case the objective would be ambitious of the fall (3420)
Pivot place in 3595.
resistors 3639, 3681, 3767
Supports 3553, 3509, 3423
report a gap open area in 3636-3639
expected increase of the fluctuation band of the index. Figure
formed : Head & Shoulders bearish on the daily chart. Target at least 3488, unlikely. Figure
in training : Cuneo reverse on the daily chart

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Afternoon on the Bund Future

BUND FUTURE REPORT
negative tone in today's day, accentuated with the release of U.S. data (ISM index 60.1). The downward trend should be reversed to the failure in the pivot position at a height of 116.13, on the contrary, the excess should impose a growth rate of descent with the first objective way to share

115.82 116.13 Pivot in place.
resistors 116.61, 116.92, 116.55 115.82
Supports, 115.34, 114.55

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Report Weekly Report on the Nasdaq Composite Report

We report the possible closure of the two week gap left open Friday at an altitude of 2222 ( gap time) and May 12 last year at an altitude of 2270 ( gap daily).
The minimum weekly target is placed at an altitude of about 2270 and the trend is bullish, while the medium-term bearish.
Levels for Today:
2219 Pivot Media
resistors 2.234-2.249-2.279
2.204-2.189-2.159

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sull'Eurostoxx 50



REPORT STOXX 50

The day starts with a minus sign. The negative tone was due to meet the first hurdle in area 3.590-3600 (advise you to purchase at this level with stop loss placed close to 3580, target 3640).
Pivot place in 3645.
resistors 3674, 3720, 3795
Supports 3599, 3570, 3495
report a gap area in 3636-3639, which should be possible to close the day.

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From Monday, June 5 post on this blog a few comments regarding the financial analysis on some securities, markets and reports on the progress of Fib 30 and / or Eurostoxx50. If you have interest to deepen its analysis of any securities or commodities, or want help with your vision or analysis, you can simply write on the blog.

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Tell us your pills in the DCNewsletter

The DCNewsletter analyzes the market in a nutshell U.S. emphasizing three points of view:

1. The psychological analysis of the market through the study of the evolution of the two indices of fear and Vix Vxn
2. fundamental analysis through the study of p / and perspective of the S & P '500
3. The analysis of trade flows through the study of Cot, contracts closed on the derivatives market on the S & P'500.

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